tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6231874373620187418.post4954835547351379039..comments2009-03-24T21:25:38.161-04:00Comments on ASA9: The Great Filter DiscoveredDavid Donohuehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00556308076450398293noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6231874373620187418.post-89902337716099904592009-03-24T21:25:38.161-04:002009-03-24T21:25:38.161-04:00Jim,It's a good point that the Great Filter in rea...Jim,<BR/>It's a good point that the Great Filter in reality amounts to a bunch of different problems. Maybe you are correct. Let's say that a given intelligence has a 50% chance of avoiding nuclear annihilation. There might just be so many threats (plague, pestilence), each at 50% likelihood, that only the occasional galaxy fields a star that can survive to attain the required technology to David Donohuehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00556308076450398293noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6231874373620187418.post-48068320089504650222009-03-24T17:45:14.945-04:002009-03-24T17:45:14.945-04:00I think I would expand this to dealing with the si...I think I would expand this to dealing with the side effects of industrial civilization in general. 25 years ago, the great filter would have been nuclear annihilation. 25 years from now, it will be whatever issue is current at the time. Modern technology seems to have no end to things that could possibly destroy us. This will remain the case until such time as we figure out how to get all of<a href="mailto:fube@jimq.org">Jim Quigley</a>http://www.blogger.com/profile/17065462477706213979noreply@blogger.com